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Bill Bishop

A China expert providing a daily digest of news and analysis on Chinese politics and business.

sinocism.com
30
articles (90 days)
1
follower

Recent articles

Fifth Plenum approaching; EU signaling car deal just the start; Li Qiang going to Russia; The Great Expedition 伟大远征
The key to properly implementing the major decisions and plans of the CPC Central Committee lies in people, and we must be alert to “two-faced people” who harbor divided loyalties and whose words a...
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September trade, prices and credit data; Li Qiang at the Canton Fair; EU-China
When some people discuss China’s trade today, they often see only import and export figures and overlook the real effects behind them. China is both a “super seller” and a “super buyer.” As a “supe...
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National Health and Wellness Conference; Xi meets with leaders from Botswana and Togo; EU-China deal; Visa’s long wait; Huang Qifan
1. National Health and Wellness Conference 2. Xi meets with leaders from Botswana and Togo 3. Cold water on the EU-China trade outcomes? 4. Visa finally gets approval for a bank card clearing in...
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Sharp China: Brussels and Beijing Make a Deal; Weak Holiday Spending Data; Xi's Reported Rest Breaks; Peak Dove?
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Guidelines for developing new quality productive forces; EU-China trade talks; Combating auto involution; Food safety crackdown
In this issue: 1. Guidelines for developing new quality productive forces 2. Outcomes from EU-China trade talks 3. Improving new car design safety and quality 4. Cracking down on food safety vi...
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EU-China talks; PBoC on RMB; Measures for protecting the rights and interests of gig workers; Holiday spending; AI safety
The People’s Bank of China on Thursday published a statement of its policy position on the Renminbi. It is a defense of the existing policy and a rebuttal to pressure for RMB appreciation, and nice...
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EU-China trade talks; Reality after the Xi-Trump meeting; US-China AI/SI
The PRC gets back to work Thursday after the long vacation for National Day. For those of you who got the week off, I hope you had a nice holiday. Today’s newsletter is a bit of a catch-up ahead of...
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The Strategic Stalemate Era for the US and China; Xi Welcomes American Young People; Domestic Crackdowns and Economic Concerns
Listen now (61 mins) | This episode of Sharp China is outside the paywall.
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Incremental policy support; Wang Yi’s message to Japan; Document sensitivities during Xi’s DC visit; Trump on China and AI/SI
Incremental policies to support the economy - Just a day after the State Council Executive Meeting readout said that “practical additional policies should be introduced”, the People’s Bank of China...
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US-China strategic stalemate; Premier Li signals Q4 economic support; More Nvidia chips for China?; PRC-Philippine tensions
Lots of pomp, limited substance in the Xi-Trump meetings. But before we get to a discussion of the Trump-Xi bonhomie, it is worth highlighting the signals from the Monday State Council Executive Me...
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Xi arrives in DC; PLA Daily editorial on Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli; ODI; Nuclear weapons
We do not have much more visibility today than we did yesterday about possible outcomes from Xi’s visit. Treasury Secretary Bessent met again with He Lifeng today, and in brief comments held out ...
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Sharp China: Xi Jinping Comes to Washington; US-China Agenda, Questions and Expectations; The September Politburo Meeting
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Premier Li on advanced manufacturing; Xi’s US visit; AI; “Enemy state” clauses
Xi Jinping should land in DC in about 24 hours. We still have little visibility on what the outcomes may be, beyond a reaffirmation of the US and PRC versions of the “constructive relationship of ...
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Fifth Plenum date set; Xi’s US visit confirmed as negotiators meet in New York; Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli expelled from Party and PLA
The Politburo held its September meeting Monday and announced that the Fifth Plenum will convene October 26-29. The PRC officially confirmed that Xi will travel to the US to meet with Trump from S...
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National Advanced Manufacturing Conference; China pushing Iran to rein in the Houthis?; Xi’s visit to DC and US-China AI Dialogue
Xi visit to DC - More details are coming about the plans for Xi’s visit to DC next week, with the most interesting report today coming from Politico, which says that Trump will personally greet Xi ...
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Xi rumors; Iran FM in Beijing; PBoC head on lending; US-China meeting; AI; EU-China
There is a new round of rumors about Xi’s health. I think it is BS but since I have been getting lots of pings about it, it makes sense to address them
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Sharp China: The Limited Potential for a Pacing Deal; MSS on PRC AI Risks; Distillation and Data Security; The Party's Approach to Social Media
Show Notes:
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More weak August data; Advance work for Xi-Trump meeting; ICBC documents leak; New exit-entry rules go into effect
In this issue: 1. More weak August data 2. Advance work for Xi-Trump meeting 3. ICBC documents leak 4. New exit-entry rules go into effect
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US-China Strategic AI Dialogue (SAID) Proposal
A structured U.S.-PRC government dialogue on strategic artificial intelligence risk reduction - The US and China should be talking about AI safety and governance, and while I am skeptical this can ...
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Xi’s India trip; US-China and AI; MSS head on AI; Weak August credit data; “Dynamic zero 动态清零” for payment arrears
Today has been a whirlwind of news about calls to pace AI development, triggered by Anthropic CEO’s “We Must Pace the Frontier” essay over the weekend. The reaction from the Trump Administration, a...
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Xi going to India; Plan for Building a Financial Powerhouse; Anthropic drops bombs in PRC AI firms; “Enemy-state clauses”; US-China
Anthropic’s September report is not just about China but includes multiple examples of what it says is problematic behavior by Chinese firms and individuals. The report documents clear violations...
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Deflation over for now; MOFCOM responds to US distillation advisory; DeepSeek IPO and new model; Xi-Trump summit
Expectations should be low for US-China AI discussions around Xi’s upcoming visit, not only because of this advisory and the response but also because the US side is far from having any sort of coh...
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August trade data; Capital boost for state financial firms; Xi’s DC visit and US-China AI
The PRC has still not confirmed that Xi Jinping will travel to India for the BRICS Summit 2026 in New Delhi this weekend, but the expectation is that he will attend. In this issue: August trade da...
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Sharp China: China's Global Strategy; Tragedy on the Nepal-Tibet Border; A 19-1 Vote at the G-20; TikTok Dodges Congress
Listen now | This episode of Sharp China is outside the paywall.
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PRC explanation of why there was no G20 communiqué; Accelerating “six networks” projects; EU-China; Oil consumption; AI
PRC explanation of why there was no G20 communiqué NDRC wants to accelerate “Six Networks” projects EU-China Q2 carbon emissions fall China and AI The Memory Museum
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Xi’s Egypt visit; G20 meeting; Bond issuance for rest of the year; EU-China trade
In this issue: Xi’s Egypt visit G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting Bond issuance for rest of the year EU-China trade
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Xi at the SCO; China’s global strategy; Li Qiang meets US business leaders; Taxing foreigners; Overseas guidelines for PRC automakers
In this issue: Xi at the SCO China’s global strategy Li Qiang meets US business delegation Tax changes for foreigners Auto industry overseas conduct guidelines Latest issue of Q...
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The disaster in Nepal and Tibet; Xi at the SCO; Supporting consumption; National Defense Mobilization Law; Signals for PRC-US AI dialogue; New era for real estate
In this issue: The disaster in Nepal and Tibet Xi at the SCO State Council Executive meeting Measures to expand and upgrade consumer goods consumption Revised National Defense Mobilization Law ...
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Sharp China: Five US-China (and Russia) Questions; Cabbage with Formaldehyde; The Continuing Tax Crackdown; Unitree Stock Down 45%
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Disaster at Tibet-Nepal border; Xi to attend SCO Summit and visit Egypt; PRC-India; Food safety; New Z.ai model
Xi to attend SCO Summit and visit Egypt - Xi will travel to Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan to attend the SCO summit and pay a state visit there. He will then go on to Egypt for a state visit. He leaves August...
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