Recent articles
August 16, 2026
Could El-Sayed Cost Democrats Michigan?
Not all progressives are equal: Candidates of the activist left typically don’t perform as well as other Democrats.
www.nytimes.com
August 14, 2026
Can Polls Measure the True Strength of the Left?
Recent polling issues could continue in Democratic primaries in part because progressives are more likely to enjoy taking surveys.
www.nytimes.com
August 14, 2026
Are Political Polls Accurate?
We look at recent problems with political polling.
www.nytimes.com
August 5, 2026
El-Sayed Got a Big Win for the Left. Can It Win Like This Nationally?
The new activist left is built on a coalition that may be too narrow to thrive in Democratic primaries in other areas, particularly the South.
www.nytimes.com
August 4, 2026
How Well Is the Progressive Left Actually Doing?
Its wins have been largely confined to highly educated and heavily Democratic parts of urban America. But two races could change that.
www.nytimes.com
July 15, 2026
Platner Was Toxic. But Democrats Could Learn From His Politics.
His progressive, populist message was able to occupy a kind of middle ground in the party’s primary electorate.
www.nytimes.com
July 1, 2026
Republicans’ Home-Field Edge for Senate Seems Just Enough for Now
Democratic candidates are generally popular, Times/Siena polling finds, but retaking the Senate remains a big challenge.
www.nytimes.com
June 30, 2026
Texas Is a Tossup. The Times/Siena Poll Points to How It Got There.
A major shift among Hispanic voters and a favorable candidate matchup have helped put Democrats on the doorstep of a Senate upset.
www.nytimes.com
June 29, 2026
Why Maine Has Turned Into Such a Tight Race
A Times/Siena poll reveals several crosscurrents in a key contest for Senate control.
www.nytimes.com
June 12, 2026
Can Democrats Overcome G.O.P. Gerrymandering?
Our chief political analyst, Nate Cohn, who writes The Tilt newsletter, looks at the Republicans’ advantage in the House of Representatives after partisan redistricting. To win the House, how much ...
www.nytimes.com
June 5, 2026
What Are Democrats’ Best Senate Pickup Opportunities?
We’ve grouped six battleground states by some of the factors that shape how likely it is for the party to flip each Senate seat.
www.nytimes.com