Recent articles
April 1, 2026
The American consumer stands firm
Data: Census Bureau; Chart: Neil Irwin/AxiosWe don't know yet how the Iran war and the resulting surge in energy prices will ripple through the U.S. economy. We do know that American consumers were...
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March 30, 2026
America's less energy-intensive economy braces against Iran war shock
Data: Axios analysis of Energy Information Administration and Bureau of Labor Statistics data; Note: March 2026 measure assumes most recent weekly gasoline price reading ($3.96) and average hourly ...
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March 28, 2026
Consumers are getting hit from all directions
Americans desperately want day-to-day life to be more affordable. Right now, they aren't getting it.The big picture: The pinch of high prices for food, energy, housing and more has driven seismic s...
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March 27, 2026
Borrowing costs are surging amid Iran war
Data: Federal Reserve; Chart: Neil Irwin/AxiosThe Iran war is sending longer-term borrowing costs surging amid prospects for higher inflation, fewer Federal Reserve rate cuts and more federal borro...
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March 22, 2026
Washington ignores America's fiscal cliff
The United States faces a dire and unsustainable fiscal outlook. You'd never know it from the action in Washington.Across parties and policy areas, you'd never guess that the U.S. faces fiscal cons...
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March 20, 2026
Global trade grew in 2025 despite Trump tariffs, two reports show
If you only read the headlines, you might guess that global trade came to a standstill in the last year as the U.S. put into place a new tariff regime. You would be 180 degrees wrong.The big pictur...
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March 18, 2026
Higher energy prices might eat your tax refund, economists say
What the taxman giveth, the energy shock taketh away. That's the upshot of the arithmetic around how much the average American household is on track to pay for higher gasoline prices this year.Why ...
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March 15, 2026
The Iran war is a new test of America's economic superpower
If you predicted the U.S. would fall into recession due to the latest headlines, the last few years have made you look dumb. Through interest rate increases, armed conflict in Europe and a trade wa...
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March 12, 2026
What it will mean for the economy if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed
With shipping traffic at a near halt at the Strait of Hormuz, the possibility of prolonged disruption to supplies of oil and other important commodities has grown.The big picture: If the military s...
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March 9, 2026
The Iran war's economic blowback is getting real
Data: Financial Modeling Prep; Chart: Axios VisualsIn the first week of the American and Israeli attack on Iran, the economic ripples were looking pretty minimal. But as Week 2 begins, the risks to...
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March 5, 2026
Iran war adds new layer to supply chain stress
When war breaks out, micro issues have a way of quickly becoming macro issues. Specific blockages and bottlenecks tend to cause broad supply disruptions and price pressure.And so it is with the war...
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February 24, 2026
The AI doom-and-gloom scenario captivating Wall Street
The AI revolution may be upon us. But nobody knows for sure what it will mean for measures of overall economic well-being like GDP, unemployment, incomes and asset prices.The big picture: Will supe...
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February 14, 2026
The Goldilocks economy, if you don't look too close
The U.S. economy started 2026 in a state of excellent balance: strong growth, a solid job market and subdued inflation. Just don't look too closely.The big picture: The key headline numbers in rece...
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February 12, 2026
The office job decline may solve a mystery of the 2020s economy
Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Note: "White-collar core" includes finance, insurance, information, and professional and business services; Chart: Axios VisualsUsually, when the economy grows, so...
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February 11, 2026
The AI boom belongs to capital, not workers
Data: U.S. Commerce Department; Chart: Jacque Schrag/AxiosThe United States is experiencing an investment boom from AI and the infrastructure that makes it possible — but much of those economic gai...
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February 2, 2026
China eyes challenge to U.S. dollar dominance – but that's easier said than done
The last few years have exposed some of the fractures in a world currency system dominated by the U.S. dollar. China's leaders see an opportunity — but achieving it will likely prove easier said th...
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January 28, 2026
The economy's pressure relief valve: the U.S. Dollar
Massive fiscal deficits as far as the eye can see. The prospect of easy monetary policy even amid elevated inflation. America's role in the world is in flux. Something has to give, and that somethi...
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January 22, 2026
Trump wants lower interest rates, but the bond market won't cooperate
President Trump really, really wants lower interest rates, and the Federal Reserve and other tools of state power have tried to deliver them. The bond market isn't cooperating.Why it matters: Longe...
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January 15, 2026
Exclusive: Chamber of Commerce chief on America's "hinge point"
The United States faces a fork in the road in which it can either embrace dynamic capitalism or tolerate stagnation, the leader of America's biggest business group will say today in a major speech....
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January 13, 2026
Fed chair Powell's investigation pushback is working
The Federal Reserve's modus operandi through years of attacks from President Trump has been straightforward: Head down, do your job, don't get sucked into counterattacks.Fed chair Jerome Powell tos...
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January 12, 2026
What's at stake in Trump's war on Powell
Some bells you can't unring. Some doors are one-way. The United States is about to find out whether the attempted criminal prosecution of its central banker is one of those.The big picture: The new...
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January 12, 2026
Fed chair Powell faces DOJ investigation over building renovations
Federal prosecutors are investigating Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell over the central bank's multi-billion-dollar project to renovate its headquarters, according to a report late on Sunday tha...
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