Recent articles
July 15, 2026
PPI data lowers market odds of interest rate increases this year
Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh is testifying on Capitol Hill for the second day Wednesday, this time before the Senate Banking Committee.The combination of a few comments he made in Tuesday's...
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July 14, 2026
Fed's Warsh stays mum on rate plans, pledges price stability
Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh will tell Congress Tuesday that the central bank is determined to restore price stability, but again offered little guidance as to whether it may need to raise ...
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July 10, 2026
Outsiders with major chops lead Fed task forces
Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh has created five task forces to rethink the central bank's policymaking process. They are likely to bring outside-the-box ideas combined with intellectual chops...
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July 8, 2026
Fed saw "upside risks" to inflation, disagreed on rate path
Federal Reserve officials saw a wide range of scenarios for how the economy and inflation will evolve at their meeting last month, leaving the central bank's policy committee divided over the path ...
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July 6, 2026
Inflation measurement tweaks make for sunnier data
Changes to the methodology underneath the Federal Reserve's go-to inflation measure are on track to make the numbers look a couple of ticks better later this year.Why it matters: The changes are en...
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July 2, 2026
No World Cup jobs bump evident in June data
With the U.S. hosting the World Cup, there have been plenty of anecdotes about a booming tourism economy in host cities — Scotland fans drinking Boston bars out of beer, for example.But no World Cu...
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July 1, 2026
Top central bankers align on rewriting the policy playbook
It's not just an American thing. Central bankers from other top Western democracies also believe that they should communicate less about where policy is going.Why it matters: There was striking ali...
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June 30, 2026
SCOTUS punts Fed independence question to future courts
On the surface, Monday's Supreme Court ruling that keeps Lisa Cook in place as a Federal Reserve governor for now was a win for believers that the central bank works best when insulated from the da...
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June 26, 2026
Nobody's sure where the Federal Reserve is heading
Predicting what the Federal Reserve will do next has become an exercise in trying to game out the tactical instincts of a new chairman who isn't giving the world much to work with.Why it matters: W...
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June 25, 2026
Why Americans hate the "good" economy
Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Chart: Neil Irwin/AxiosThe big-picture indicators of the U.S. economy — GDP, unemployment and so on — are doing fine while public opinion on economic conditions is...
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June 18, 2026
Kevin Warsh's Fed starts to take shape
Less than four weeks after being sworn in as chairman of the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh left no doubt that the way the central bank shapes its policies and communicates is now going to be very di...
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June 17, 2026
Fed leaves rates steady in Warsh's first meeting
The Federal Reserve left its target interest rate unchanged in Kevin Warsh's first meeting as its chairman, alongside new projections showing that many top officials now anticipate raising interest...
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June 15, 2026
All eyes on Warsh at new Fed chairman's first policy meeting
As Kevin Warsh leads his first policy meeting as Federal Reserve chairman this week, he is not getting the luxury of starting the job in "easy" mode.The big picture: He faces a renewed surge of inf...
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June 9, 2026
The white-collar jobs contradiction that isn't
Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Note: Core white-collar is the sum of employment in financial activities, information, and professional and business services sectors; Chart: Neil Irwin/AxiosThe m...
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June 8, 2026
With Fed set to meet next week, December's rate cut now looks questionable
Six months ago, Federal Reserve officials were deeply divided over whether to cut interest rates for a third consecutive meeting. The rate cutters won the day, but the data since then has pointed t...
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June 1, 2026
Jerome Powell warns that the Fed's credibility is at risk
In his first public remarks since the conclusion of his time as Federal Reserve chair, Jerome Powell has issued a blunt warning that the central bank is undergoing a "stress test" and its credibili...
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May 27, 2026
What it would take to rebuild U.S. manufacturing might
America's dependence on imported manufactured goods looks like a vulnerability in a world of widening geopolitical fractures. Fixing it won't come cheap.The big picture: New research from McKinsey,...
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May 26, 2026
The bond market is telling us the free lunch is over
For most of this century, rich countries have enjoyed a seemingly free lunch: They could spend money as needed, cut taxes at will and stimulate their way out of problems without paying a price in t...
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May 22, 2026
Trump to Fed chair Warsh: "Don't look at me, don't look at anybody"
The Warsh era begins with soaring inflation, a Middle East energy shock bleeding into other parts of the economy and colleagues skeptical that rate cuts should come anytime soon.Add on top: Kevin W...
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May 20, 2026
Trump gives blasé response to rate hike possibility
President Trump has spent much of his term bashing outgoing Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell for not cutting interest rates enough. On Tuesday, he seemed surprisingly blasé about the possibility...
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May 18, 2026
Kevin Warsh's bond market bind
Kevin Warsh hasn't even been sworn in as leader of the Federal Reserve yet, and his first great test has already arrived.The big picture: Global bond markets are sending borrowing costs markedly hi...
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May 15, 2026
How Jerome Powell navigated pandemic, inflation and Trump
In his eight years at the helm of America's central bank, Jerome Hayden Powell has guided the U.S. economy through extreme tumult and fought off unprecedented presidential efforts to undermine the ...
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May 13, 2026
Kevin Warsh confirmed to lead Federal Reserve
Kevin Warsh has been confirmed as the 17th leader of the Federal Reserve, becoming America's economist-in-chief at a moment of resurgent inflation, public discontent with the economy and unpreceden...
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May 13, 2026
The U.S. inflation problem is getting worse
Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Chart: Neil Irwin/AxiosAmerica's inflation problem is getting worse, not better, as 2026 progresses. New wholesale price data — on the heels of Tuesday's consumer ...
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May 4, 2026
What is, and isn't, worrying about 100% debt to GDP
Data: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Treasury Department; Chart: Neil Irwin/AxiosThe United States has crossed a symbolic milestone: The national debt is now larger than its gross domestic product...
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April 30, 2026
Kevin Warsh's challenges become clear after Fed chair Powell's last hurrah
When Kevin Warsh takes over as Federal Reserve chair, he will face vocal internal opposition to any attempts to cut rates prematurely.His predecessor will also still be roaming the halls.Why it mat...
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April 29, 2026
Fed holds rates steady amid the most dissents in decades
The Federal Reserve left interest rates steady in what was almost certainly Jerome Powell's final meeting as its leader, but there were the most internal dissents at a Fed meeting in 34 years.The b...
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April 24, 2026
How a swap line for Persian Gulf allies would break with the past
If the United States gets into the business of providing dollar liquidity to the United Arab Emirates and other Persian Gulf states battered by the Strait of Hormuz's closure, it will amount to a n...
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April 21, 2026
What to look for in Kevin Warsh's big day on Capitol Hill
At Kevin Warsh's Fed confirmation hearing today, Republicans will cast him as a change agent ready to shake up a tradition-bound institution.Driving the news: In remarks introducing Warsh obtained ...
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