Recent articles
October 15, 2026
AI vs. the railroads
Are we in 1872?
www.noahpinion.blog
October 13, 2026
A Nobel for New Keynesian macro, at last!
It’s about time.
www.noahpinion.blog
October 11, 2026
Why Donald Trump won in 2024
Re-upping my election post-mortem, so that we don’t forget.
www.noahpinion.blog
October 9, 2026
Maybe the Rapture is already here
In the future, we’re all heavenbanned.
www.noahpinion.blog
October 7, 2026
There is no “Indian Question”
The actual question is what kind of a nation America is going to be.
www.noahpinion.blog
October 5, 2026
What the AI boom is doing for Americans
It’s not just “of, by and for oligarchs”.
www.noahpinion.blog
October 3, 2026
The second Trump presidency is a world-historic failure
How did Trump fumble so badly?
www.noahpinion.blog
October 1, 2026
Roundup #89: It isn’t X, it’s Y
AI risk; Reindustrialization; The rent crisis; AI and jobs; Mass deportation; Chinese investment; Cyber risk
www.noahpinion.blog
September 28, 2026
Stop spending money on smaller classes
We’ve spent decades raising teacher quantity when we should have been raising quality.
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September 25, 2026
Four eras of San Francisco tech culture
An anthropological reflection.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 24, 2026
No, you are not on Indigenous land
A repost from 2024.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 22, 2026
The problem(s) with utilitarianism
Our favorite moral philosophy is about to come under increasing strain.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 20, 2026
How we can beat China
The trick is to let them beat themselves.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 18, 2026
Roundup #88: Is it time to panic yet?
AI risk; AI and growth; AI and Saas; Rich people; Christians vs. Nazis; Japanese culture; State capacity; City size
www.noahpinion.blog
September 16, 2026
The anti-American Right
Bo French’s rightist movement is a dead end for our nation. Fortunately, it’s beatable.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 14, 2026
Two missing pieces in the AI safety discussion
We need to make skeptics properly scared. And we need to make CHINA properly scared.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 12, 2026
Get the Middle East out of my politics!
A manifesto.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 9, 2026
Liberalism needs a new philosophy of immigration
We need to make a principled stand instead of a tactical retreat.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 7, 2026
AI keeps stubbornly refusing to take our jobs
Happy Labor Day!! Your labor is still valuable.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 5, 2026
America is still beating China in the AI race
The U.S. is staying ahead, though the costs of that lead are still unknown.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 3, 2026
Why you won’t get a flying car
A review of “Where is My Flying Car?”, by J. Storrs Hall, and some other thoughts on the future of technology.
www.noahpinion.blog
September 1, 2026
Roundup #87: Technology BAD!!
The Hugging Face attack; TV and loneliness; Leftist antisemitism; Another Acemoglu paper; The Electric Revolution
www.noahpinion.blog
August 30, 2026
In defense of Asian American art
People are creating some very interesting and original stuff!
www.noahpinion.blog
August 28, 2026
Here’s how we’re all going to die
Spoiler: It’s vibe-coded superviruses.
www.noahpinion.blog
August 26, 2026
The death of Market Street
How San Francisco turned its most iconic street into a giant empty scar.
www.noahpinion.blog
August 24, 2026
What if our biggest problems aren’t economic?
A new social challenge for a new century.
www.noahpinion.blog
August 22, 2026
Are we watching the U.S. go bankrupt?
No, but there are still reasons for concern.
www.noahpinion.blog
August 19, 2026
Economists should be worried about birth rates
Don’t be so quick to dismiss the threat of an aging, declining population.
www.noahpinion.blog
August 18, 2026
Where to eat in San Francisco
Part 1 of my personal recommendations.
www.noahpinion.blog
August 16, 2026
The end of an era for China's economy
Zhu Rongji's formula won't work anymore. But that doesn't mean Xi Jinping's will work either.
www.noahpinion.blog