Recent articles
May 13, 2026
Trump actually started to decouple America from China
The "economic divorce" between the two countries is proceeding slowly, but it is proceeding.
www.noahpinion.blog
May 11, 2026
Tyrants are losing wars
Ruthlessness and machismo will only get you so far in a technological world.
www.noahpinion.blog
May 9, 2026
Do billionaires earn their money?
That's probably the wrong question.
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May 8, 2026
Barack Obama was a successful President
A repost, because I'm annoyed.
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May 6, 2026
Could development economics be more useful?
What's really needed is humility.
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May 5, 2026
AI's big messaging pivot
Some top AI leaders now say their technology will create jobs. Should we believe them?
www.noahpinion.blog
May 2, 2026
California's "billionaire tax" is the wrong approach
Left-populist instincts are leading to silly policy ideas.
www.noahpinion.blog
May 1, 2026
Roundup #81: Back to our regular programming
National debt; AI cyberattacks; Phone bans; AI and coding jobs; Millennials vs. Boomers; Public order; California YIMBYism
www.noahpinion.blog
April 29, 2026
Scoring the Jensen-Dwarkesh debate
Export controls are holding back Chinese AI. Should we keep them?
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April 27, 2026
The moderately easy problem of consciousness
Before deciding if computers are self-aware, let's figure out how humans become self-aware.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 24, 2026
Why shoplifting is bad
It may feel like a small act of rebellion, but it hurts a lot of people who don't deserve it.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 22, 2026
Is China's soft power really rising, or is America's just crumbling?
Chinamaxxing vs. Americaminning.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 21, 2026
No, America is not in a "stealth manufacturing boom"
Tariffs are canceling out the tailwinds.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 20, 2026
Updated thoughts on industrial policy
Economic consensus is changing, but it has a long way to go.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 17, 2026
Hasan Piker is bad for the Democrats
Republicans embraced extremist ideology and it backfired on them. Democrats shouldn't follow suit.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 16, 2026
You are what you consume
Personal identity should come from the things we get to choose for ourselves.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 13, 2026
What if a few AI companies end up with all the money and power?
Contemplating the grim future of the "Robot Lords".
www.noahpinion.blog
April 11, 2026
Will Americans want more housing if it looks prettier?
Maybe a little bit, but I have my doubts.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 9, 2026
Yes, assimilation is good
Building a unified American culture isn't about bullying people; it's about living together in peace.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 7, 2026
I told you this would end badly
In retrospect, there were signs that Trump was not a good leader.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 5, 2026
Roundup #80: All AI, all the time
Growth; Biosecurity; Cybersecurity; Pseudonymity; Quant trading; AI adoption
www.noahpinion.blog
April 3, 2026
Salarymen, specialists, and small businesses
Some brief thoughts on the (near) future of work.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 1, 2026
How Japan has changed in the last 20 years
Reflections on a unique nation.
www.noahpinion.blog
April 1, 2026
If you're in Tokyo this Friday, come to my hanami!
An annual tradition.
www.noahpinion.blog
March 30, 2026
Maybe you should have bought an electric car
The Iran War is illustrating the cost of anti-EV nonsense.
www.noahpinion.blog
March 28, 2026
Plentiful, high-paying jobs in the age of AI
A timely repost, with some needed clarifications.
www.noahpinion.blog
March 26, 2026
AI has the worst sales pitch I've ever seen
"Our product will make you economically useless, and possibly kill you" is not a value proposition.
www.noahpinion.blog
March 25, 2026
The economic consequences of the Iran war
The U.S. is likely to get off easy, while others will bear the brunt.
www.noahpinion.blog
March 24, 2026
There isn't always a "long arc" of morality
Progressives should beware the idea that history will deliver them inevitable victories.
www.noahpinion.blog
March 22, 2026
A conversation with Claude
In which a robot and I have a fun dorm-room chat about the future of science.
www.noahpinion.blog