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Noah Smith

An economist offering optimistic and analytical takes on economics, technology, and geopolitics.

www.noahpinion.blog www.thefp.com
30
articles (90 days)
1
follower

Recent articles

Does anyone know why we're still doing tariffs?
The ridiculous policy has taken on a life of its own.
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Democratic economic policy in the age of AI
The economy is changing fast. Democrats need to be a rock in the storm.
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China is killing the fish
An environmental danger almost no one is paying attention to.
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Updated thoughts on AI risk
Things have gotten scarier since 2023.
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You Are No Longer the Smartest Type of Thing on Earth
Rapidly advancing artificial intelligence means we may end up being one of the very last generations to remember what it was like for humans to be in the driver’s seat of the universe, writes Noah ...
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How technology has already changed the world in my lifetime
A timely repost.
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You are no longer the smartest type of thing on Earth
The coming of AI means that humanity's destiny is (mostly) out of our hands.
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Roundup #77: The Fix-Everything Button
BART fare gates; AI and jobs, again; Tariffs and trade deficits; Jon Stewart vs. the economists; H-1Bs; Japan's fiscal position
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The Takaichi Era begins for real
Japan is leaving its pacifist era behind. That creates some interesting economic opportunities.
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Why America's extremes will both fail
The right narrows its coalition, while the left parasitizes its patrons
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The Fall of the Nerds
The age of humans who could think like computers is drawing to a close.
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What a liberal immigration enforcement policy might look like
Democrats need to think beyond progressive pugnacity.
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International financial anarchy
What happens after the Age of the Dollar ends?
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What if AI succeeds but OpenAI fails?
A few thoughts on the AI race.
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No, China doesn't plan 1000 years ahead
A timely repost.
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Let the Chinese cars in
There's a way to do it so that the benefits outweigh the costs.
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Roundup #76: Great Powers acting stupid
Another ICE killing; Xi's Great Purge; Russian losses; America against science; India electrifies; Leftist economics
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What happens if the world pulls its money out of America?
The more Trump makes it clear that America is not what it used to be, the more likely capital flight becomes.
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Let's save the human species!
There's probably a solution out there to fertility decline. Let's find it!
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Resistance is necessary, but it's not enough
In the face of Trump's authoritarianism, liberals need a principled movement and a plan for governance.
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Zero-sum economics keeps failing
The world is not a lump of "resources"
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Trapped in the hell of social comparison
A hypothesis about why Americans are unhappy with their economy.
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Roundup #75: Checking in on the Bad Guys
Iran; China vs. India; Russia; Leaving California; Reduced hiring; Indian development; Wind energy; Science funding
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Gangster affordability
Trump's strategy for bringing down prices might work in the short term, but the long-term costs could be very high.
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Why are federal agents gunning down Americans in the streets?
The shooting of Renee Good, like all of the ICE abuses, is symptomatic of a deeper mental illness.
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America must embrace the Electric Age, or fall behind
When it comes to technology, listen to Elon Musk.
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Welcome to Chaos World
The global order is disintegrating. What's next?
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Where does a liberal go from here?
Our movement overreached and crashed. But the fundamental ideals are still just as powerful.
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America's chip export controls are working
Don't be fooled by the people who say we should sell China everything we've got.
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At least five interesting things: Buy Local edition (#74)
Abundance and small business; Luxury housing and rent; Tariffs and the economy; Fraud; Math anxiety; Chinese robots
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