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Noah Smith

An economist offering optimistic and analytical takes on economics, technology, and geopolitics.

www.noahpinion.blog www.thefp.com
30
articles (90 days)
2
followers

Recent articles

Yes, assimilation is good
Building a unified American culture isn't about bullying people; it's about living together in peace.
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I told you this would end badly
In retrospect, there were signs that Trump was not a good leader.
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Roundup #80: All AI, all the time
Growth; Biosecurity; Cybersecurity; Pseudonymity; Quant trading; AI adoption
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Salarymen, specialists, and small businesses
Some brief thoughts on the (near) future of work.
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How Japan has changed in the last 20 years
Reflections on a unique nation.
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If you're in Tokyo this Friday, come to my hanami!
An annual tradition.
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Maybe you should have bought an electric car
The Iran War is illustrating the cost of anti-EV nonsense.
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Plentiful, high-paying jobs in the age of AI
A timely repost, with some needed clarifications.
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AI has the worst sales pitch I've ever seen
"Our product will make you economically useless, and possibly kill you" is not a value proposition.
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The economic consequences of the Iran war
The U.S. is likely to get off easy, while others will bear the brunt.
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There isn't always a "long arc" of morality
Progressives should beware the idea that history will deliver them inevitable victories.
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A conversation with Claude
In which a robot and I have a fun dorm-room chat about the future of science.
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China is quietly looking weaker
Xi Jinping's paranoia, rapidly changing technology, and the limitations of China's system could cut short the Chinese Century.
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Save us, Digital Cronkite!
Social media tore our society apart. Perhaps AI can put it back together.
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Roundup #79: The revenge of macroeconomics
Ehrlich; AI and knowledge; The Strait of Hormuz; Government debt and inflation; Japanese robots; Democrats and taxes; Smartphones
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The future isn't what it used to be
Thoughts on extrapolative expectations.
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San Francisco's urban revival is in danger
If the Board of Supervisors falls to the Progressives, the old dysfunction will return.
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Are we in the foothills of World War 3?
The coalitions are hardening, and the weapons are being deployed.
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Something feels weird about this economy
Is it AI? Tariffs? The immigration crackdown?
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If AI is a weapon, why don't we regulate it like one?
Thoughts on the fight between Anthropic and the Department of War.
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Superintelligence is already here, today
It's going to revolutionize science. It also might take control of this planet.
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The shape of the multipolar world is a little clearer
A few thoughts on the new Iran war.
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Roundup #78: Roboliberalism
AI and productivity; Yuppie Fishtank Theory; Global development; American living standards; George Borjas
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Why does America feel worse than other countries? Crime.
In most ways, the U.S. is a typical rich country. Except for crime.
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The Citrini post is just a scary bedtime story
AI might take your job, but it probably won't crash the economy -- and if it does, we know how to deal with it.
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Does anyone know why we're still doing tariffs?
The ridiculous policy has taken on a life of its own.
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Democratic economic policy in the age of AI
The economy is changing fast. Democrats need to be a rock in the storm.
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China is killing the fish
An environmental danger almost no one is paying attention to.
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Updated thoughts on AI risk
Things have gotten scarier since 2023.
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You Are No Longer the Smartest Type of Thing on Earth
Rapidly advancing artificial intelligence means we may end up being one of the very last generations to remember what it was like for humans to be in the driver’s seat of the universe, writes Noah ...
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