Recent articles
September 13, 2026
A simple model of AI-aided economic growth
The Solow model has its uses, but it fails when it comes to major changes stemming from AI. Consider instead an economy with (at least) two factors of production: 1. Intelligence. Yes, formal sma...
marginalrevolution.com
September 12, 2026
The mathematicians rebel against AI
Here is the statement, signed by Terry Tao among many other math notables, most of you probably have read it by now. I do not accept the most cynical interpretations of this proclamation. Some of...
marginalrevolution.com
September 12, 2026
UK fact of the day
The UK economy grew 0.4 per cent in July as the global AI boom helped deliver an unexpectedly robust start to the third quarter, in a boost to Prime Minister Andy Burnham as he prepares for a tough...
marginalrevolution.com
September 12, 2026
Labor reallocation during the Industrial Revolution
New technologies swept through Britain during the Second Industrial Revolution, destroying old jobs and creating new ones. We know little about how workers reallocated. Using 170 million full-count...
marginalrevolution.com
September 12, 2026
The excess pessimism of early nuclear bomb designers
From GPT Pro: The Manhattan Project scientists were remarkably good technological and arms-race forecasters. They correctly rejected the idea that America’s nuclear monopoly could be maintained; th...
marginalrevolution.com
September 11, 2026
The Allocative Cost of War
Why is war so economically costly? Our answer is that modern war lowers output not only by destroying productive factors, but also by making the surviving economy work less efficiently. Using uniqu...
marginalrevolution.com
September 11, 2026
Friday assorted links
1. Some Princeton philosophers are converting to Catholicism. 2. New Ada Palmer podcast. 3. Nice statement of how intelligence is overrated in the AI debates. 4. Joshua Rothman on the phones and me...
marginalrevolution.com
September 11, 2026
My AI podcast with James Pethokoukis
You will find it here, with transcript.
The post My AI podcast with James Pethokoukis appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
marginalrevolution.com
September 11, 2026
Markets do respond to AGI news
Here is the link.
The post Markets do respond to AGI news appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
marginalrevolution.com
September 11, 2026
Is there now a better trend in youth mental health?
A key U.S. government report on mental health, substance use and addiction showed continued improvements in several metrics, especially among young people. There was some uncertainty about the futu...
marginalrevolution.com
September 10, 2026
My short interview with Julia Willemyns
Here is the link, here is the end bit: Who is the most important thinker of our time? It’s not about individual thinkers any more. It’s about the internet as this vast organ of knowledge that you c...
marginalrevolution.com
September 10, 2026
Thursday assorted links
1. On India’s new gdp statistics. 2. Reasons why robotics are hard. 3. On 20th century music. 4. Is the inflation picture shifting? (correct link) 5. The importance of nuclear risk. 6. Call for AI ...
marginalrevolution.com
September 10, 2026
Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI
By Anton Korinek, Charles I. Jones, Szymon Sacher, Tess Cotter, and Peter McCrory, a strong line-up from Anthropic. They are sober, reasoned, scientific, and (for the most part) dynamically consis...
marginalrevolution.com
September 10, 2026
Ricardo Reis and the IMF?
The IMF dropped the lead candidate to become its new chief economist at the eleventh hour after he was found to have made critical remarks about the Trump administration’s economic policies, accord...
marginalrevolution.com
September 10, 2026
My very interesting Conversation with Jared Diamond
Here is the audio, video, and transcript. Here is part of the episode summary: So which leaders do make a difference? Tyler and Jared debate that question, including conditions what a religious ...
marginalrevolution.com
September 9, 2026
What should I ask Kevin Roose?
Yes I will be doing a podcast with him. From Wikipedia: Kevin Roose…is an American author and journalist. He is the author of three books, and is a technology columnist and podcast host for The Ne...
marginalrevolution.com
September 9, 2026
Wednesday assorted links
1. Crime and drunkenness map of England and Wales (that was then, this is now). 2. Cesar Aira says he will stop writing. 3. Toward a post-cultural state? 4. Madrid has great PISA scores. 5. Firms a...
marginalrevolution.com
September 9, 2026
Reading sentences to ponder
In 2015, 6 of the top 25 bestselling hardcover books—this is a not-perfect but useful proxy for new books published—were fiction. In 2025, 18 of the top 25 hardcover books were fiction, meaning onl...
marginalrevolution.com
September 9, 2026
Reasons to go to college
That is the topic of my latest Free Press column, here is one excerpt: …college is a great place to make friends, date, and possibly meet a spouse. Those features are ever more important as America...
marginalrevolution.com
September 8, 2026
Tuesday assorted links
1. The Carob Prize, for scholars who tell the truth (WSJ). 2. Observations from watching Iranian social media. 3. The Emma McAleavy feminist vision. 4. Is the inflation picture shifting? 5. The lab...
marginalrevolution.com
September 8, 2026
Some Navier-Stokes updates
Some Terry Tao. More Terry Tao. Some ChatGPT. Some are calling this “a Deep Blue moment” for AI. All via T., a mathematician.
The post Some Navier-Stokes updates appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
marginalrevolution.com
September 8, 2026
Ed Elson and Scott Galloway interview me on AI
The post Ed Elson and Scott Galloway interview me on AI appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
marginalrevolution.com
September 8, 2026
Will new transportation technologies increase urban density?
Will 21st century transportation innovations work against urban density, as the car did in the 20th century, or promote urban centralization, as the railroad did in the 19th century? Reducing the c...
marginalrevolution.com
September 7, 2026
South Korean aspirational markets in everything
Instead of Amazon, I spent the past week browsing a new breed of websites known as “dopamine sites,” a trend that emerged in South Korea. These websites — like Dopamine Shop and FoodNeverComes — re...
marginalrevolution.com
September 7, 2026
Monday assorted links
1. How are age verification systems going? 2. Eliezer predictions. 3. Are humpback whales policing nature? 4. “Traces of nearly four million coins reveal how Rome achieved economic integration.” 5....
marginalrevolution.com
September 7, 2026
Capital gains vs. wealth taxes
Standard optimal capital tax theory abstracts from modeling asset prices, making it unsuitable for thinking about capital gains and wealth taxation. We study optimal redistributive taxation in an e...
marginalrevolution.com
September 7, 2026
Emergent Ventures winners, 59th cohort
Tym Syrytczyk, London, autonomous vehicles in the UK. Shane Regan, Long Island, 16, AI agents. Maximilian Kornstein, 15, Atlanta area, agents and general career support. Irene Chen and Jessica Dai,...
marginalrevolution.com
September 6, 2026
Insurance price sentences to ponder
NYU Stern researcher @NateWitkin questions why cyber insurance rates keep falling if AI cyber risk is accelerating: “Insurance rates for cyber risk declined by about 4% globally in Q2 of this year,...
marginalrevolution.com
September 6, 2026
Sunday assorted links
1. Vishy now thinks Pragg is number one in the chess world. 2. Do children grow continuously, or grow in fits and starts? 3. It remains my view that Ferrante is the husband and wife team. 4. Essay ...
marginalrevolution.com
September 6, 2026
*Why Not Bolivia?*
The author is Calvin Korponai, and the subtitle is From Macchu Picchu into Bolivia in search of the Garden of Eden. Bolivia is a fantastic country to visit, more original than most people are expe...
marginalrevolution.com